Baysian updating

baysian updating-81

Core tenet 2: How we interpret If you experience something that you think could only be caused by cause A, ask yourself "if this cause didn't exist, would I regardless expect to experience this with equal probability?

" If the answer is "yes", then it probably wasn't cause A.

(For a thorough mathematical treatment of Bayes' theorem, see Eliezer's Intuitive Explanation.)There should be nothing surprising about that, of course.

Suppose you're outside, and you see a person running.

This article is an attempt to summarize basic material, and thus probably won't have anything new for the hard core posting crowd.

Last modified 03-Nov-2017 12:46